by Jérémie Bouchaud
Eight-inch MEMS fabs are hardly anything new. In revenue terms, a major part of the MEMS market has been processed on 8-inch lines since 2001, when Texas Instruments moved to 200 mm production. For many years, though, TI was the only significant manufacturer and the opportunity for equipment and wafer suppliers was limited. Since 2005, a handful of companies have joined the 8-inch group; these are Hewlett Packard, STMicroelectronics, EPCOS and foundries Dalsa, DNP and tMt. And indeed WTC estimates that in 2006 around 16% of the revenue generated by the MEMS market was produced from activity on 8-inch lines.
So what will the future bring? WTC believes that 2008 will be a transition year and expects the 8-inch revenue share of the MEMS market to more than double from $1.4 billion this year to $ 3.5 billion in 2011. This represents a growth of 16% to 31% in the same time. The revenue growth will accelerate in 2009 and 2010 as a number of new 8-inch MEMS fabs become operational.
The signs for this are clear. In 2006, only the two companies in the top 30 MEMS manufacturers, TI and HP, were manufacturing MEMS at 200 mm diameters. By 2011, there should be at least 12 players: ST’s and Freescale’s 8-inch lines are already operational: Bosch, Omron and Canon should follow in the next 18 months. And wtc knows of a further six companies among the top 30 who expect to, but have not yet publicized their plans to move to this diameter.
The foundry offer also currently expands in 200 mm. Dalsa, tMt, DNP and Jazz Semiconductor have started to offer services, while APM, Omron, TSMC Silex come on line by 2009.
Factors driving the adoption of 8-inch wafers
The combination of MEMS for consumer electronics combined with automotive MEMS sensors now enables the large volumes that justify a move to 8-inch, and this route is taken by Bosch, Freescale and others. For consumer markets, operating an 8-inch line is now a marketing argument to convince your customer that you can ramp-up the product in large volume rapidly and that you are not at the limit of your capacity.
Meanwhile we expect a significant part of the inkjet business to move
to 8-inch diameter production. HP has run a 200 mm line in Corvallis since 2005.
Canon plans to move to 200 mm, MEMjet will start on 8-inch with a Taiwanese MEMS
foundry and WTC anticipates that other inkjet players will buy older 200 mm
CMOS fabs and convert them to print head production.
However, what is new is that certain mass production level products are beginning with 8-inch. This is the case of MEMS oscillators from Discera through foundry partner Dalsa, SiTime with Jazz Semiconductor and Silicon Clocks with an as yet undisclosed foundry partner.
Another factor is the existence of the infrastructure. The equipment
offer is mature, e.g. wafer bonders at EVG and Süss.
Further, a number of manufacturers of mass products are undergoing
drastic technology changes in order to cope with the extreme price pressures
they face in production sensors for consumer electronics, such as the
requirement for new 3D packaging solutions. As each needs to invest in new
processes and equipment, this naturally coincides with an upgrade to 8-inch
diameter substrates.
Role of foundries in transitionto 8-inch wafers
MEMS and IC foundries with a 200 mm capability already attract companies
developing MEMS products for mass markets, as shown by Dalsa for Discera’s
oscillators and Jazz Semiconductors, which makes switches for WiSpry and MEMS
oscillators for SiTime.
WTC also expects that some large MEMS manufacturers will increasingly
cooperate with these 8-inch foundries as their consumer business expands. We do
not expect the likes of Analog Devices to externalise all of their MEMS
production, but the company can externalise some parts of their processes. This
could concern standard processes if the companies want to keep more critical
processes in house for strategic reasons. This can also concern special
processes, such as through silicon vias (TSV) for 3D packaging.
WTC anticipates that externalisation of part of the processes will affect
mainly consumer products, which need very fast production ramp up. Most of the
automotive MEMS production will remain in house.
Risks associated with scale up
There are anticipated overcapacity issues across the entire industry.
With twelve companies expected to be producing on 8-inch diameter wafers among
the top 30 companies in 3 years time compared to three today, MEMS production
capacity will significantly increase in this time. As a result, wtc anticipates
an accelerated price decrease for high volume products like inertial sensors,
microphones and pressure sensors.
Another risk is the tuning of processes. Transitioning to a larger
wafer size means learning to work with new equipment, and adjusting the process
again. More than in any other area, this phase is the most cost intensive and
time consuming in MEMS production. While the final tuning still has to be
undertaken in a company’s own facility, the emergence of 200 mm R&D fabs,
such as Minatec in France or SVTC, is a great support in this phase and lowers
the risk associated with transferring from 6- to 8-inch.
Investment also represents a major issue. Building a new 200 mm fab from scratch - as Bosch intends - requires a
initial capital investment of $150 to $200 million. An alternative that offers
lower initial investment is to buy and convert to MEMS one of the ten to
fifteen 200 mm CMOS fabs currently for sale. Another option is to cooperate
with an 8-inch foundry on either a complete process or a portion of the
process.
Each approach has advantages and drawbacks (see table), and each
company must examine the options carefully. The optimum solution depends on the
starting situation, as follows:
• For an IC and MEMS producer, it is easier to convert a former 200 mm
fab to meet proprietary production requirements. This is the case of Freescale,
where a part of the 200 mm IC fab in Texas is now dedicated to MEMS, while the
company still produces microcontrollers, power devices and RF ICs.